BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barred Owl Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Barred Owl in Texas has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-33%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
82Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Barred Owl Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Barred Owl in Texas. See the full index history below.

Barred Owl Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.15 (95% range 0.05–0.25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.15Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.05–0.2595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±63.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.15 (95% range 0.05–0.25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.150.050.25
20260.150.050.25
20270.150.050.25
20280.150.050.25
20290.150.050.25

Barred Owl Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Barred Owl in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Arenosa Crk720241973
Liberty Hill620231969
Schroeder519961967
Union Hill420211995
Mcfaddin420162006
Hinkles Fer320241968
Yoakum320231994
Neches Bith320172016
Livingston219941970
Gause219961977
E Georgetown219791979
Massey Lake220231977
Osage219881983
Athens220231980
Blue Ridge220242004
Creedmore220002000
Bon Wier220212002
Wills Point220161998
Smyrna 2220162012
Vanderbilt119701970
Hobson119971985
George West120091970
Campbellton120181977
Danbury119981998
Katy120232023

Barred Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.