BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Barred Owl Population Trend in Texas

All statesBirds of prey

Barred Owl in Texas has held roughly steady: up 0% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+0%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
83Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Barred Owl Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Barred Owl in Texas. See the full index history below.

Barred Owl Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Texas is projected to fall about 29% by 2030 — from 0.22 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.05–0.25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-29%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.15Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.05–0.2595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±68.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Texas is projected to fall about 29% by 2030 — from 0.22 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.05–0.25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.150.050.25
20270.150.050.25
20280.150.050.25
20290.150.050.25
20300.150.050.25

Barred Owl Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Barred Owl in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Schroeder519961967
Lydia520251969
Cayuga520251996
Union Hill420211995
Mcfaddin420162006
Moon Lake 2420252012
Hinkles Fer320241968
Neches Bith320172016
Arenosa Crk220251973
Livingston219941970
Gause219961977
E Georgetown219791979
Massey Lake220231977
Osage219881983
Athens220231980
Liberty Hill220251969
Dike220251973
Sadler220251979
Blue Ridge220242004
Yoakum220251994
Creedmore220002000
Bon Wier220212002
Mt. Selman220252025
Wills Point220161998
Easton 2220252014

Barred Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseevermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.