Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Barred Owl Population Trend in Tennessee
Barred Owl in Tennessee has surged: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+181%Since 1968
44Routes In State
58Years
Notable Barred Owl Trends in Tennessee
long arc increasecomputed index
Barred Owl has surged in Tennessee: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Barred Owl Population Forecast in Tennessee
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Tennessee is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 0.36 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.41 (95% range 0.22–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
0.41Projected 2029 index
0.22–0.6095% range
±37.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.39 | 0.20 | 0.58 |
| 2026 | 0.40 | 0.21 | 0.58 |
| 2027 | 0.40 | 0.21 | 0.59 |
| 2028 | 0.41 | 0.22 | 0.59 |
| 2029 | 0.41 | 0.22 | 0.60 |
Barred Owl Survey Routes in Tennessee
| Pawpaw | 4 | 2012 | 1967 |
| Moscow | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Big Sandy | 3 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Sweetlips | 3 | 2018 | 1999 |
| Silerton | 3 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Smokey Jct | 3 | 2021 | 1984 |
| Cades Cove | 3 | 2018 | 2004 |
| Indian Mound 2 | 3 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Tibbs | 2 | 1992 | 1966 |
| Mansfield | 2 | 2023 | 1980 |
| Campbellsville | 2 | 2015 | 1982 |
| Petersburg | 2 | 2002 | 1966 |
| Fish Springs | 2 | 2021 | 1977 |
| Mecca | 2 | 2019 | 2003 |
| Pawpaw 2 | 2 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Signal Mtn | 1 | 2021 | 1985 |
| Tiptonville | 1 | 2016 | 1966 |
| Brownsville | 1 | 2022 | 1980 |
| Whiteville | 1 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Jones Gap | 1 | 1990 | 1987 |
| Humboldt | 1 | 1985 | 1972 |
| Pond Creek | 1 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Indian Mound | 1 | 1997 | 1968 |
| Collinwood | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Wrigley | 1 | 2014 | 1968 |
Barred Owl Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.