BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barred Owl Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Barred Owl in Georgia has surged: up 307% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+307%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
88Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
54YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Barred Owl Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Barred Owl has surged in Georgia: up 307% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Barred Owl Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Georgia is projected to fall about 37% by 2029 — from 0.52 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.13–0.52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-37%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.33Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.13–0.5295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±24.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Georgia is projected to fall about 37% by 2029 — from 0.52 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.13–0.52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.320.120.51
20260.320.120.51
20270.320.130.51
20280.320.130.52
20290.330.130.52

Barred Owl Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Barred Owl in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Stoney Point 21120242024
Shiloh620242012
Pineora420101997
Needmore319831977
Whitesburg320211993
Council320242013
White Hill320232005
Okefenokee219911983
Stockton220231979
Everett City220191976
Wrightsville220231982
Nashville220221978
Newton220041981
Oakman220121983
Henderson220211993
Bowdon220111997
Rentz220241986
Wadley220111989
Pitts220241982
Keller219931977
Boston220241979
Coffee Co220231995
Woodbine220152014
Headlight220212016
Colonels Island220152011

Barred Owl Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.