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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Kingbird Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesAerial insectivores

Western Kingbird in Nebraska has held roughly steady: up 10% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+10%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
71Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Western Kingbird Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Western Kingbird in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Western Kingbird Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Western Kingbird in Nebraska is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 6.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.2 (95% range 3.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.1–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±54.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Western Kingbird in Nebraska is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 6.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.2 (95% range 3.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
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Western Kingbird Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Western Kingbird in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hendley3620242018
Hay Springs3020242018
Paxton2920161967
Arthur2620241985
Dalton2320241968
Brownson2220212021
Kimball2120221975
Murray Lake1920241987
Sumner1720241967
Crookston1720242018
Mullen1520231990
Kenesaw1420241967
Agate 21420242002
Bartley1320241967
Oconto1319811968
Stratton1220241975
Almeria1220211969
Gordon1220241975
Agate1020011968
Berwyn 21020212014
Hampton920242018
Gretna820181968
Petersburg820231969
Berwyn820101993
Kennedy720241976

Western Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-mexiconorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.