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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Kingbird Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesAerial insectivores

Western Kingbird in Minnesota has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-63%Since 1969
34Routes In State
54Years

Notable Western Kingbird Trends in Minnesota

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Kingbird has fallen sharply in Minnesota: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Western Kingbird Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Western Kingbird in Minnesota is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±490.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+55%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4695% range
±490.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.100.000.48
20260.100.000.47
20270.100.000.47
20280.090.000.46
20290.090.000.46

Western Kingbird Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Western Kingbird in Minnesota.
Badger419881980
Warroad420031994
Lakeville319721972
Big Stone320111995
Lockhart320241993
Ash Creek219851975
Courtland219891989
Redwood Fall219831978
Pine River219801980
Edwards220041973
Tenney220151978
Wylie220001971
Money Creek120002000
Chandler119821976
Arlington119941973
Maynard120001998
Dawson120042003
Princeton119781969
Osseo119841976
Knapp119781967
St Stephen119861971
Appleton120141980
Gluek119961968
Chokio120091970
Evergreen119701969

Western Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamichiganmississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.