Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Kingbird Population Trend in Kansas
Western Kingbird in Kansas has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-71%Since 1969
64Routes In State
57Years
Notable Western Kingbird Trends in Kansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Western Kingbird has fallen sharply in Kansas: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Western Kingbird Population Forecast in Kansas
If the recent trend holds, Western Kingbird in Kansas is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 5.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 0.00–8.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-34%Change by 2029
3.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.495% range
±17.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.0 | 0.37 | 9.6 |
| 2026 | 4.7 | 0.08 | 9.3 |
| 2027 | 4.4 | 0.00 | 9.0 |
| 2028 | 4.1 | 0.00 | 8.7 |
| 2029 | 3.8 | 0.00 | 8.4 |
Western Kingbird Survey Routes in Kansas
| Albert | 25 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Lakin | 23 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Ruleton | 22 | 2022 | 1981 |
| Wellington | 21 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Missler | 21 | 2019 | 1975 |
| Coats | 20 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Plymell | 20 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Phillipsburg | 16 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Hodges | 16 | 2014 | 2000 |
| Gray | 14 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Leoville | 14 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Covert | 14 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Damar | 14 | 2016 | 2000 |
| Gove | 13 | 2022 | 1972 |
| Hopewell | 13 | 2018 | 2000 |
| Logan | 12 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Beloit 2 | 12 | 2018 | 2005 |
| St John | 11 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Jewell | 11 | 2005 | 1967 |
| Beloit | 11 | 2003 | 2000 |
| Ash Valley | 10 | 2019 | 2000 |
| Grigston | 10 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Hays | 9 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Minneapolis | 9 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Leoti | 9 | 2022 | 2000 |
Western Kingbird Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.