Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in Ohio
Willow Flycatcher in Ohio has increased: up 36% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+36%Since 1968
84Routes In State
58Years
Notable Willow Flycatcher Trends in Ohio
No notable trend signals for Willow Flycatcher in Ohio. See the full index history below.
Willow Flycatcher Population Forecast in Ohio
If the recent trend holds, Willow Flycatcher in Ohio is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.8–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+18%Change by 2029
2.8Projected 2029 index
1.8–3.895% range
±29.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 2027 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 2028 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 2029 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3.8 |
Willow Flycatcher Survey Routes in Ohio
| Stonecreek | 16 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Omega | 11 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Pittsfield | 10 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Bismark | 10 | 1995 | 1967 |
| Garrettsvile | 10 | 1991 | 1973 |
| Hiram | 10 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Cumberland | 9 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Smithfield | 8 | 2024 | 1972 |
| London | 7 | 2012 | 1997 |
| Lucerne | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Fulton | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Bloomville | 5 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Dresden | 5 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Kunkle | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Wayland | 4 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Kenton | 4 | 2013 | 1966 |
| New Somerset | 4 | 1993 | 1972 |
| Coal Run | 4 | 1992 | 1966 |
| Middlefield | 3 | 2017 | 1974 |
| No Kenton | 3 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Lattasburg | 3 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Harveysburg | 3 | 1996 | 1967 |
| Birmingham | 3 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Graytown | 2 | 1984 | 1967 |
| N Baltimore | 2 | 2018 | 1973 |
Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.