Species · Delaware · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in Delaware
Willow Flycatcher in Delaware has risen sharply: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
+63%Since 1978
7Routes In State
39Years
Notable Willow Flycatcher Trends in Delaware
long arc increasecomputed index
Willow Flycatcher has risen sharply in Delaware: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Willow Flycatcher Population Forecast in Delaware
If the recent trend holds, Willow Flycatcher in Delaware is projected to rise about 126% by 2029 — from 0.20 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.45 (95% range 0.11–0.80). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±143.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+126%Change by 2029
0.45Projected 2029 index
0.11–0.8095% range
±143.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.43 | 0.09 | 0.78 |
| 2026 | 0.44 | 0.09 | 0.79 |
| 2027 | 0.44 | 0.10 | 0.79 |
| 2028 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 0.79 |
| 2029 | 0.45 | 0.11 | 0.80 |
Willow Flycatcher Survey Routes in Delaware
| Mt Pleasant | 1 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Wilmington | 1 | 2010 | 1978 |
| Harrington | 1 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Frederica | 1 | 2010 | 1977 |
| Blackbird | 1 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Holleyville 2 | 1 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Georgetown | 1 | 2012 | 2004 |
Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutgeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.