BirdAnalyst
Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesAerial insectivores

Willow Flycatcher in North Carolina has held roughly steady: up 0% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+0%Since 1971
12Routes In State
47Years

Notable Willow Flycatcher Trends in North Carolina

No notable trend signals for Willow Flycatcher in North Carolina. See the full index history below.

Willow Flycatcher Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Willow Flycatcher in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±85.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1395% range
±85.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.050.000.13
20260.050.000.13
20270.050.000.13
20280.050.000.13
20290.050.000.13

Willow Flycatcher Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Willow Flycatcher in North Carolina.
Sturgills220242002
Todd120231995
Siloam120092009
Marshall119911991
Brevard120131968
Craven Gap119741972
French Broad River120152003
Sheffield120142014
Call119801977
Hendersonvil120232000
Cullowhee120241975
Lloyd Xroads119971997

Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.