Species · Connecticut · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in Connecticut
Willow Flycatcher in Connecticut has increased: up 30% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+30%Since 1969
17Routes In State
55Years
Notable Willow Flycatcher Trends in Connecticut
No notable trend signals for Willow Flycatcher in Connecticut. See the full index history below.
Willow Flycatcher Population Forecast in Connecticut
If the recent trend holds, Willow Flycatcher in Connecticut is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.76 (95% range 0.05–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±404%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+36%Change by 2029
0.76Projected 2029 index
0.05–1.595% range
±404%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.74 | 0.04 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.75 | 0.04 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.76 | 0.05 | 1.5 |
Willow Flycatcher Survey Routes in Connecticut
| Warren | 4 | 2011 | 1974 |
| Granby | 4 | 2024 | 1988 |
| New Hartford | 3 | 1987 | 1973 |
| Sherman | 2 | 2018 | 1982 |
| Danbury | 2 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Mystic | 1 | 2023 | 1989 |
| Buckingham | 1 | 2015 | 2002 |
| Uncasville | 1 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Woodstock | 1 | 2005 | 1969 |
| Westbrook | 1 | 1993 | 1990 |
| Willimantic | 1 | 2005 | 1977 |
| No Woodbury | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| New Hartford | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Long Hill | 1 | 2019 | 1974 |
| Mid Haddam | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Southington | 1 | 2019 | 1979 |
| Woodstock 2 | 1 | 2019 | 2017 |
Willow Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.