Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Kansas
Western Cattle-Egret in Kansas has surged: up 688% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
+688%Since 1982
26Routes In State
40Years
Notable Western Cattle-Egret Trends in Kansas
long arc increasecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Kansas: up 688% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
Western Cattle-Egret Population Forecast in Kansas
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Kansas is projected to fall about 60% by 2027 — from 0.45 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±94.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-60%Change by 2027
0.18Projected 2027 index
0.00–6.995% range
±94.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 7.0 |
| 2024 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 7.0 |
| 2025 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 7.0 |
| 2026 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 6.9 |
| 2027 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 6.9 |
Western Cattle-Egret Survey Routes in Kansas
| Melrose | 50 | 1997 | 1984 |
| Albert | 35 | 2019 | 1976 |
| Berwet | 19 | 2022 | 2001 |
| Kanopolis | 16 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Solomon | 12 | 2008 | 1994 |
| Pittsburg | 11 | 2007 | 2001 |
| Ellinor | 8 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Hays | 8 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Lapland | 5 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Dalton | 5 | 2015 | 1982 |
| Trading Post | 5 | 2008 | 2007 |
| Goessel | 4 | 2008 | 2001 |
| Le Loup | 3 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Damar | 2 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Humboldt | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Wellington | 1 | 2019 | 1984 |
| St John | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Coats | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Ashland | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Olathe | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Dover | 1 | 2006 | 1999 |
| Barclay | 1 | 2016 | 1992 |
| Wreford | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Covert | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Morehead | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.