Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Kentucky
Western Cattle-Egret in Kentucky has surged: up 429% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
+429%Since 1988
8Routes In State
20Years
Notable Western Cattle-Egret Trends in Kentucky
long arc increasecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Kentucky: up 429% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
Western Cattle-Egret Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Kentucky is projected to rise about 390% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.52 (95% range 0.04–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±115%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+390%Change by 2029
0.52Projected 2029 index
0.04–1.095% range
±115%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.49 | 0.01 | 0.97 |
| 2026 | 0.50 | 0.02 | 0.98 |
| 2027 | 0.51 | 0.03 | 0.99 |
| 2028 | 0.52 | 0.04 | 1.00 |
| 2029 | 0.52 | 0.04 | 1.0 |
Western Cattle-Egret Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Joy | 20 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Iron Bridge | 15 | 1998 | 1967 |
| Bardwell | 5 | 1992 | 1988 |
| Canton | 3 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Drakesboro | 2 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Lovelacevile | 2 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Keysburg | 2 | 2001 | 1998 |
| Dixie | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradodelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.