BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesWetland birds

Western Cattle-Egret in Tennessee has collapsed: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

-87%Since 1974
15Routes In State
34Years

Notable Western Cattle-Egret Trends in Tennessee

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has collapsed in Tennessee: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

Western Cattle-Egret Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Tennessee is projected to fall about 92% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±135.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-92%Change by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5295% range
±135.2%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.040.000.56
20260.030.000.55
20270.020.000.54
20280.010.000.53
20290.010.000.52

Western Cattle-Egret Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in Tennessee.
Tibbs1520042004
Trenton1519921992
Glen1220102009
Pawpaw720111971
Pawpaw 2520132013
Jefferson Cty220002000
Mansfield219961986
Silerton220242024
Tiptonville120081984
Moscow119991999
Whiteville119841972
Humboldt119821982
Collinwood120232017
Campbellsville120051996
Tullahoma120142014

Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradodelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.