Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Florida
Western Cattle-Egret in Florida has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-53%Since 1968
123Routes In State
58Years
Notable Western Cattle-Egret Trends in Florida
long arc declinecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has fallen sharply in Florida: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Western Cattle-Egret Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Florida is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 20 in 2024 to a central estimate of 23 (95% range 3.4–44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+15%Change by 2029
23Projected 2029 index
3.4–4495% range
±45%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26 | 5.9 | 46 |
| 2026 | 25 | 5.2 | 45 |
| 2027 | 25 | 4.6 | 45 |
| 2028 | 24 | 4.0 | 44 |
| 2029 | 23 | 3.4 | 44 |
Western Cattle-Egret Survey Routes in Florida
| Eglin A.F.B. | 161 | 2011 | 1995 |
| Babcock Rnch | 120 | 1990 | 1988 |
| St Lucie | 117 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Dowling Park | 115 | 2023 | 1987 |
| Hildreth | 115 | 2007 | 1987 |
| Alturas | 111 | 1986 | 1971 |
| Flemington | 106 | 1999 | 1987 |
| Mabel 2 | 104 | 2019 | 2012 |
| Mt. Olive | 103 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Nobleton | 88 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Dale Mabry | 83 | 1988 | 1966 |
| Micanopy | 80 | 1991 | 1966 |
| San Antonio | 80 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Pennywash Cr | 74 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Shawano | 72 | 2002 | 1987 |
| Myakka Head | 68 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Mabel | 68 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Belmore | 62 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Sanderson | 62 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Myakka Head 2 | 60 | 2021 | 2012 |
| Kendall | 59 | 1991 | 1987 |
| New Hope | 58 | 2011 | 2009 |
| Devils Gardn | 56 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Hildreth 2 | 55 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Gardner | 54 | 1999 | 1987 |
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.