Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Arkansas
Western Cattle-Egret in Arkansas has surged: up 83% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+83%Since 1974
39Routes In State
52Years
Notable Western Cattle-Egret Trends in Arkansas
long arc increasecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Arkansas: up 83% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Western Cattle-Egret Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Arkansas is projected to rise about 134% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 0.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±214.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+134%Change by 2029
3.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–1495% range
±214.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.1 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2026 | 4.0 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2027 | 4.0 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2028 | 3.9 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2029 | 3.8 | 0.00 | 14 |
Western Cattle-Egret Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Hope | 31 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Gillett | 30 | 2016 | 2010 |
| Massard | 25 | 2006 | 1983 |
| Wilson | 21 | 1996 | 1995 |
| Crows | 20 | 1989 | 1980 |
| South Bend | 17 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Locust Bayou | 15 | 2004 | 1988 |
| Stamps | 15 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Poyen | 14 | 2006 | 1983 |
| Lockesburg | 14 | 2019 | 2010 |
| Poyen 2 | 14 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Eudora | 13 | 2016 | 1972 |
| Russell | 12 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Kelso | 12 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Ashdown | 8 | 2023 | 1977 |
| Springhill | 7 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Nance | 6 | 2006 | 1992 |
| Coal Hill | 5 | 2009 | 1981 |
| Stark | 3 | 2008 | 1992 |
| Compton | 3 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Avoca | 3 | 2009 | 1992 |
| England | 3 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Rudy | 3 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Ramsey | 2 | 1997 | 1982 |
| Hughes | 2 | 2009 | 1974 |
Western Cattle-Egret Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.