BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prothonotary Warbler Population Trend in Virginia

All statesForest birds

Prothonotary Warbler in Virginia has increased: up 32% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+32%Since 1968
34Routes In State
58Years

Notable Prothonotary Warbler Trends in Virginia

No notable trend signals for Prothonotary Warbler in Virginia. See the full index history below.

Prothonotary Warbler Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Prothonotary Warbler in Virginia is projected to rise about 171% by 2029 — from 0.69 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.18–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±358.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+171%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.18–3.695% range
±358.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.80.103.5
20261.80.123.5
20271.80.143.5
20281.90.163.5
20291.90.183.6

Prothonotary Warbler Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Prothonotary Warbler in Virginia.
Dismal Swamp10020161992
Pungo1120241975
Newsoms1020241969
Surry420241977
Branchville420241966
Backbay419741966
Tryme220062005
Colonial Pky219971992
Brandon220241992
Chincoteag W220151992
Sharps220221967
Saltville219961969
Brodnax220241992
Cornland220141975
Finchley220172017
Port Royal120181977
Gloucester120191992
Covington119791979
Walkers120231992
Truhart120241996
Covesville120071967
Shipman119691969
Mannboro120181968
Hall120232023
Waverly119871978

Prothonotary Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseetexaswest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.