Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Prothonotary Warbler Population Trend in Florida
Prothonotary Warbler in Florida has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-18%Since 1968
55Routes In State
58Years
Notable Prothonotary Warbler Trends in Florida
No notable trend signals for Prothonotary Warbler in Florida. See the full index history below.
Prothonotary Warbler Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Prothonotary Warbler in Florida is projected to fall about 40% by 2029 — from 0.82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.49 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-40%Change by 2029
0.49Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±38.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
Prothonotary Warbler Survey Routes in Florida
| Broad Branch | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Apalachicola | 12 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Miller Xrds | 12 | 2019 | 1987 |
| Alligator Pt | 12 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Port St Joe | 6 | 2010 | 1968 |
| Telogia | 5 | 1985 | 1968 |
| Nixon | 5 | 1986 | 1985 |
| Ft Gadsden | 4 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Lovedale | 3 | 2011 | 1989 |
| Pennywash Cr | 3 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Seminole Hills 2 | 3 | 2022 | 2002 |
| New Hope | 3 | 2011 | 2009 |
| Blountstown | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| St Vincent I | 2 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Bloxham | 2 | 2021 | 1987 |
| Deanville | 2 | 1992 | 1987 |
| Island Grove | 2 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Oak Grove | 1 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Ft Waltn Bch | 1 | 1987 | 1977 |
| Mossy Head | 1 | 2007 | 1968 |
| Miccosukee | 1 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Seminole Hls | 1 | 2000 | 1967 |
| Covington | 1 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Steinhatchee | 1 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Belmont | 1 | 2002 | 1967 |
Prothonotary Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.