BirdAnalyst
Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Shoveler Population Trend in Washington

All statesWaterfowl

Northern Shoveler in Washington has edged down: down 24% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-24%Since 1977
23Routes In State
39Years

Notable Northern Shoveler Trends in Washington

No notable trend signals for Northern Shoveler in Washington. See the full index history below.

Northern Shoveler Population Forecast in Washington

If the recent trend holds, Northern Shoveler in Washington is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.15 (95% range 0.00–0.81). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±652.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2027
0.15Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.8195% range
±652.5%Backtest error
19752027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20230.170.000.83
20240.170.000.83
20250.160.000.82
20260.160.000.82
20270.150.000.81

Northern Shoveler Survey Routes in Washington

Routes recording Northern Shoveler in Washington.
Wilbur3020041984
Brewster1120141977
Columbia Nwr820211992
Nighthawk520192019
Harrington320121984
Wapato319881988
Port Angeles220062006
Chewelah219841984
Moses Lake219991977
Connell219981976
Tonasket220022002
Cusick220081984
Mendota219771977
Keystone220221996
Warm Beach119751975
Turnbull Nwr120082008
Reardan120071996
Twin Lakes119881988
Ewan119991995
Othello119901990
Bay View120021998
Omak Creek120122012
Carnation119961996

Northern Shoveler Population Trend in Other States

alaskacaliforniacoloradodelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-dakotatexasutahwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.