BirdAnalyst
Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Shoveler Population Trend in Utah

All statesWaterfowl

Northern Shoveler in Utah has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1991.

+14%Since 1991
18Routes In State
35Years

Notable Northern Shoveler Trends in Utah

No notable trend signals for Northern Shoveler in Utah. See the full index history below.

Northern Shoveler Population Forecast in Utah

If the recent trend holds, Northern Shoveler in Utah is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.27 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±450%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.27Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±450%Backtest error
19812029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.300.001.5
20260.290.001.5
20270.280.001.5
20280.280.001.4
20290.270.001.4

Northern Shoveler Survey Routes in Utah

Routes recording Northern Shoveler in Utah.
Bear River2820231992
Neponset Res1220171997
Grizzly Rdge419961996
Snowville420162016
Vernal420171999
M Warner Res420181993
Promontory220102006
Saleratus Cr220182003
Gold Hill220081990
Oak City219811981
Goshen220111998
Woodruff220112007
Randolph220241993
Bicknell220172002
Callao220221998
Dixie Nf119961996
E. Bear Lake120222000
Lynn120211998

Northern Shoveler Population Trend in Other States

alaskacaliforniacoloradodelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-dakotatexaswashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.