BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Sparrow Population Trend in Virginia

All statesGeneralists

House Sparrow in Virginia has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-94%Since 1968
69Routes In State
58Years

Notable House Sparrow Trends in Virginia

long arc declinecomputed index

House Sparrow has collapsed in Virginia: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

House Sparrow Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, House Sparrow in Virginia is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 2.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±563.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±563.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.0016
20260.000.0016
20270.000.0016
20280.000.0016
20290.000.0016

House Sparrow Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording House Sparrow in Virginia.
Great Falls8419781966
Marion5619821976
Newbern4819821968
Backbay4119741966
Taylorstown2920101967
Gladys2520241994
Ivanhoe1719681966
Pine Mtn.1720101996
Covington1520241966
White Stone1520241966
Jerome1420231971
Brodnax1220241973
Port Royal1120191977
David1020131968
Clinchport1019781967
Hebron1020221981
Waverly919861967
Churchville820241966
Quinby820241966
Stanley720241966
Stickleyvill719901975
Edinburg620241968
Hall620231967
Tryme520221975
Sharps520241967

House Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontwashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.