BirdAnalyst
Species · South Carolina · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

House Sparrow Population Trend in South Carolina

All statesGeneralists

House Sparrow in South Carolina has collapsed: down 96% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-96%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
43Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable House Sparrow Trends in South CarolinaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

House Sparrow has collapsed in South Carolina: down 96% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

House Sparrow Population Forecast in South Carolina

If the recent trend holds, House Sparrow in South Carolina is projected to fall about 100% by 2030 — from 1.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±833.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±833.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Sparrow in South Carolina is projected to fall about 100% by 2030 — from 1.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±833.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.000.0014
20270.000.0014
20280.000.0014
20290.000.0014
20300.000.0014

House Sparrow Survey Routes in South Carolina

Routes recording House Sparrow in South Carolina.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pendleton4319761966
Boykin Ml Pd3919681966
Boiling Spgs3719791967
Little Mtn2719881966
Owings1720041992
Blacksburg1020071998
Bishopville720251970
Pinewood720171998
Foreston520251966
New Holland520251967
Wagener520251966
Landrum519921972
Green Sea520252019
Cauthens Xrd519991983
Prosperity520241994
Nixonville419951987
Nixville420122001
Chesnee420141992
Holly Hill320251972
Dillon320211970
Whitmire320172017
Joanna320171999
Mount Pisgah320251998
Anderson320181977
Jamestown219931967

House Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.