Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
House Sparrow Population Trend in California
House Sparrow in California has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-55%Since 1970
204Routes In State
56Years
Notable House Sparrow Trends in California
long arc declinecomputed index
House Sparrow has fallen sharply in California: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
House Sparrow Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, House Sparrow in California is projected to fall about 61% by 2029 — from 16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.1 (95% range 0.00–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-61%Change by 2029
6.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–1795% range
±56.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.2 | 0.00 | 19 |
| 2026 | 7.7 | 0.00 | 19 |
| 2027 | 7.2 | 0.00 | 18 |
| 2028 | 6.7 | 0.00 | 18 |
| 2029 | 6.1 | 0.00 | 17 |
House Sparrow Survey Routes in California
| Atwater | 755 | 2012 | 1972 |
| Orland | 208 | 2022 | 1974 |
| Oroville | 166 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Tipton | 153 | 1997 | 1972 |
| Glenn | 123 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Gravesboro | 111 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Moreno | 110 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Dorris | 105 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Willow Spgs | 95 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Shafter | 94 | 1989 | 1971 |
| Joshua Tree 2 | 90 | 2016 | 2013 |
| Redding | 85 | 1983 | 1972 |
| Livermore | 83 | 1991 | 1972 |
| Ora Loma | 82 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Caruthers | 78 | 1987 | 1972 |
| San Ysidro | 75 | 2019 | 1973 |
| Willow Springs 2 | 72 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Hughson | 70 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Athlone | 68 | 2007 | 1973 |
| Collegeville | 67 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Westley | 67 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Lenwood | 66 | 2012 | 1973 |
| Joshua Tree | 63 | 2002 | 1970 |
| Buena Vista | 59 | 2019 | 1990 |
| Auburn | 58 | 1980 | 1969 |
House Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.