Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chimney Swift Population Trend in South Carolina
Chimney Swift in South Carolina has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-77%Since 1968
51Routes In State
58Years
Notable Chimney Swift Trends in South Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Chimney Swift has collapsed in South Carolina: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Chimney Swift Population Forecast in South Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Chimney Swift in South Carolina is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 0.00–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+12%Change by 2029
5.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–1395% range
±63.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.2 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2026 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 13 |
| 2027 | 5.8 | 0.00 | 13 |
| 2028 | 5.6 | 0.00 | 13 |
| 2029 | 5.4 | 0.00 | 13 |
Chimney Swift Survey Routes in South Carolina
| Owings | 36 | 2004 | 1992 |
| Joanna | 33 | 2019 | 1999 |
| Pendleton | 31 | 1976 | 1966 |
| Boykin Ml Pd | 30 | 1968 | 1966 |
| Little Mtn | 27 | 1988 | 1966 |
| Landrum | 23 | 1992 | 1972 |
| Salem Xrd | 20 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Wagener | 18 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Chesnee | 17 | 2015 | 1992 |
| Nixonville | 14 | 1995 | 1987 |
| New Holland | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Dillon | 13 | 2021 | 1970 |
| Plum Branch | 13 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Blacksburg | 11 | 2013 | 1998 |
| Walterboro | 9 | 2017 | 1970 |
| Barton Creek | 9 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Boiling Spgs | 9 | 1979 | 1967 |
| Carvers Bay | 9 | 2012 | 1998 |
| Green Sea | 8 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Holly Hill | 6 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Foreston | 6 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Campobello | 6 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Sandhills | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Olar | 6 | 2019 | 1998 |
| Bishopville | 5 | 2024 | 1970 |
Chimney Swift Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.