Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chimney Swift Population Trend in Alabama
Chimney Swift in Alabama has fallen sharply: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-70%Since 1968
109Routes In State
58Years
Notable Chimney Swift Trends in Alabama
long arc declinecomputed index
Chimney Swift has fallen sharply in Alabama: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Chimney Swift Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Chimney Swift in Alabama is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 5.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 0.00–7.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-42%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.995% range
±14.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.6 | 0.02 | 9.1 |
| 2026 | 4.3 | 0.00 | 8.8 |
| 2027 | 4.0 | 0.00 | 8.5 |
| 2028 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 8.2 |
| 2029 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 7.9 |
Chimney Swift Survey Routes in Alabama
| Birmingham | 145 | 1995 | 1969 |
| Dearmanville | 45 | 1983 | 1966 |
| Howard | 45 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Riderwood | 26 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Summitt | 23 | 1981 | 1966 |
| St Florian | 19 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Dawson | 19 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Stevenson | 19 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Greensport | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Brantley | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Alabama Pt | 12 | 2003 | 1966 |
| Foley | 12 | 1984 | 1966 |
| Rock Chapel | 12 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Millerville | 11 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Wedgeworth | 11 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | 10 | 2010 | 1966 |
| Wallsboro | 10 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Dauphin Is | 10 | 1990 | 1966 |
| Alabama Pt 2 | 10 | 2017 | 2004 |
| Hillsboro | 9 | 1996 | 1966 |
| Warrior Std | 9 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Castleberry | 9 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Liberty City | 9 | 2011 | 1979 |
| Swaim | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Newton | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
Chimney Swift Population Trend in Other States
arkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.