Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chimney Swift Population Trend in Florida
Chimney Swift in Florida has declined: down 29% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-29%Since 1968
104Routes In State
58Years
Notable Chimney Swift Trends in Florida
No notable trend signals for Chimney Swift in Florida. See the full index history below.
Chimney Swift Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Chimney Swift in Florida is projected to rise about 123% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.0 (95% range 0.00–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±157.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+123%Change by 2029
5.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–1895% range
±157.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.1 | 0.00 | 19 |
| 2026 | 5.1 | 0.00 | 18 |
| 2027 | 5.1 | 0.00 | 18 |
| 2028 | 5.0 | 0.00 | 18 |
| 2029 | 5.0 | 0.00 | 18 |
Chimney Swift Survey Routes in Florida
| Sebastian | 73 | 1992 | 1987 |
| Webb | 32 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Winter Gardn | 27 | 2019 | 1987 |
| Scottsmoor | 15 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Pinetta | 14 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Hilliard | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Micanopy | 11 | 1991 | 1966 |
| Telogia | 10 | 1985 | 1968 |
| Dale Mabry | 10 | 1988 | 1969 |
| Polk City | 10 | 2024 | 1970 |
| New Hope | 10 | 2011 | 2009 |
| Bristol | 10 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Doctors Inlet 2 | 10 | 2018 | 2008 |
| Doctor Inlet | 9 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Broad Branch | 8 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Belmont | 8 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Mabel | 8 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Indiantown | 8 | 2017 | 1984 |
| Santa Rosa | 8 | 2003 | 1987 |
| Aripeka | 8 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Dowling Park | 7 | 2023 | 1987 |
| Deanville | 7 | 2016 | 1987 |
| Citrus Park | 7 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Lovedale | 7 | 2011 | 1987 |
| Ft Waltn Bch | 6 | 2011 | 1966 |
Chimney Swift Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.