Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chimney Swift Population Trend in Missouri
Chimney Swift in Missouri has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-88%Since 1969
91Routes In State
57Years
Notable Chimney Swift Trends in Missouri
long arc declinecomputed index
Chimney Swift has collapsed in Missouri: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Chimney Swift Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Chimney Swift in Missouri is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.69 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.595% range
±28.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 3.0 |
| 2027 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 2.8 |
| 2028 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
Chimney Swift Survey Routes in Missouri
| Cole Camp | 44 | 1990 | 1971 |
| Sni Mills | 33 | 1990 | 1967 |
| Gildehouse | 29 | 1989 | 1978 |
| Hamilton | 22 | 1985 | 1972 |
| Syracuse | 17 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Graydon | 15 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Kirksville | 9 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Watson | 9 | 2023 | 1991 |
| Union | 9 | 1999 | 1990 |
| Washington | 8 | 1977 | 1967 |
| Centertown | 8 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Sedalia | 8 | 2023 | 1991 |
| Gerald | 7 | 2022 | 2013 |
| Kahoka | 6 | 1998 | 1967 |
| Deventer | 5 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Clementine | 5 | 2002 | 1974 |
| Madison | 5 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Rockingham | 5 | 2016 | 1969 |
| Marshfield | 5 | 2016 | 1996 |
| Millwood | 5 | 2022 | 1999 |
| Clementine 2 | 5 | 2006 | 2005 |
| House Springs | 5 | 2023 | 2017 |
| Cassville | 4 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Bolckow | 4 | 1992 | 1967 |
| Bennett | 4 | 2022 | 1997 |
Chimney Swift Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.