Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown Thrasher Population Trend in North Dakota
Brown Thrasher in North Dakota has declined: down 44% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-44%Since 1969
51Routes In State
57Years
Notable Brown Thrasher Trends in North Dakota
No notable trend signals for Brown Thrasher in North Dakota. See the full index history below.
Brown Thrasher Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Brown Thrasher in North Dakota is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.00–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+10%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.695% range
±26%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.4 | 0.00 | 4.8 |
| 2026 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 4.8 |
| 2027 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 4.7 |
| 2028 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 4.7 |
| 2029 | 2.2 | 0.00 | 4.6 |
Brown Thrasher Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Solen | 9 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Sydney | 8 | 1983 | 1967 |
| Edgeley | 7 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Regan | 7 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Tobacco | 6 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Walcott | 5 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Zap | 5 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Golva | 5 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Kempton | 4 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Buchanan | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Bowman | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Roosevelt Pk | 4 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Cedar Creek | 4 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Niles | 3 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Dickinson | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Dunn Center | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Forman | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Lake George | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Danzig | 2 | 2014 | 1982 |
| Webster | 2 | 2021 | 1989 |
| Rolla | 2 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Ft Yates | 2 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Denbigh | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Carson | 2 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Emerado | 1 | 2023 | 1973 |
Brown Thrasher Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.