BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Brown Thrasher Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesGeneralists

Brown Thrasher in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-63%Since 1969
59Routes In State
57Years

Notable Brown Thrasher Trends in Arkansas

long arc declinecomputed index

Brown Thrasher has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Brown Thrasher Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Brown Thrasher in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.7 (95% range 0.66–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.66–2.795% range
±11.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.80.782.8
20261.80.752.8
20271.80.722.8
20281.70.692.8
20291.70.662.7

Brown Thrasher Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Brown Thrasher in Arkansas.
Harrisburg920091967
Centerton920242010
Saffell720191967
Yellville720102010
Poyen620071967
Blakely619991968
Fulton620241967
Havana620192010
Locust Bayou520231967
Rupert520241967
Nance520231993
Stark420241967
Coal Hill420231967
Springhill420222010
Crows319911967
Augusta320011967
Farwell320182010
Russell320212010
Ulm320191986
Old Milo220241967
Eudora220241967
Stamps220241967
Hope220241967
Ashdown220151967
West Tyler219841967

Brown Thrasher Population Trend in Other States

alabamacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.