Species · Iowa · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown Thrasher Population Trend in Iowa
Brown Thrasher in Iowa has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-57%Since 1969
39Routes In State
57Years
Notable Brown Thrasher Trends in Iowa
long arc declinecomputed index
Brown Thrasher has fallen sharply in Iowa: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Brown Thrasher Population Forecast in Iowa
If the recent trend holds, Brown Thrasher in Iowa is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 3.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.4 (95% range 2.2–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+21%Change by 2029
4.4Projected 2029 index
2.2–6.795% range
±33%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 7.0 |
| 2026 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 6.9 |
| 2027 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 6.8 |
| 2028 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 6.8 |
| 2029 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 6.7 |
Brown Thrasher Survey Routes in Iowa
| Mt Hamill | 18 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Washta | 16 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Bedford | 15 | 2018 | 1968 |
| College Spgs | 14 | 2004 | 1967 |
| Red Rock | 10 | 2024 | 1968 |
| College Spgs 2 | 9 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Zearing | 8 | 1995 | 1967 |
| Wales | 7 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Maquoketa | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Davis Corner | 6 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Cedar Valley | 5 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Panther | 5 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Titonka | 5 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Pierson | 4 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Burchinal | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Melrose | 3 | 2024 | 1974 |
| West Liberty | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Brooklyn | 3 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Alice | 3 | 1999 | 1967 |
| Scranton | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Clare | 3 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Sioux City | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Rock Valley | 3 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Mccallsburg | 3 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Exline | 2 | 2024 | 1974 |
Brown Thrasher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.