BirdAnalyst
Guild · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Aerial Insectivores In Minnesota

All statesMinnesota

19 species in this guild. As a group they are +16% since 1969.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for aerial insectivores in Minnesota. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Aerial insectivores in Minnesota is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 3.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 2.4–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029
4.3Projected 2029 index
2.4–6.295% range
±33.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.42.56.3
20264.42.56.2
20274.42.56.2
20284.32.56.2
20294.32.46.2

Member Species In Minnesota

Aerial insectivores species in Minnesota.
Purple MartinHirundinidae-83%
Bank SwallowHirundinidae-74%
Common NighthawkCaprimulgidae-74%
Chimney SwiftApodidae-71%
Western KingbirdTyrannidae-63%
Northern Rough-winged SwallowHirundinidae-51%
Great Crested FlycatcherTyrannidae-39%
Olive-sided FlycatcherTyrannidae-31%
Eastern KingbirdTyrannidae-17%
Eastern Whip-poor-willCaprimulgidae-15%
Barn SwallowHirundinidae-5%
Eastern PhoebeTyrannidae-1%
Least FlycatcherTyrannidae+25%
Eastern Wood-PeweeTyrannidae+64%
Tree SwallowHirundinidae+69%
Alder FlycatcherTyrannidae+71%
Willow FlycatcherTyrannidae+125%
Cliff SwallowHirundinidae+292%
Yellow-bellied FlycatcherTyrannidae12×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.