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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Least Flycatcher Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesAerial insectivores

Least Flycatcher in Minnesota has edged up: up 25% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+25%Since 1969
86Routes In State
57Years

Notable Least Flycatcher Trends in Minnesota

No notable trend signals for Least Flycatcher in Minnesota. See the full index history below.

Least Flycatcher Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Least Flycatcher in Minnesota is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 6.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.1 (95% range 3.0–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
5.1Projected 2029 index
3.0–7.195% range
±24.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.13.07.1
20265.13.07.1
20275.13.07.1
20285.13.07.1
20295.13.07.1

Least Flycatcher Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Least Flycatcher in Minnesota.
Bena3419771967
Sawbill Lndg3120241973
Jordan2620231993
Crane Lake2320241969
Blackduck2220222004
Backus2020241967
Waskish1920241978
Bigfork1820241993
Lockport1720241967
Sherry Lake1720221969
Nett Lake1620242013
Glendale1520241993
Mahtowa1320231993
Cass Lake1320161980
Floodwood1220241967
Little Fork1220241969
Brook Park1220241998
Sawbill Camp1220241993
Red Lake1120241993
Chisholm1120242019
Hart Lake1020241967
New London1020241995
Babbitt1020231994
Nebish1020231982
Bemidji919801967

Least Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutgeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.