Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Least Flycatcher Population Trend in Ohio
Least Flycatcher in Ohio has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-67%Since 1968
40Routes In State
47Years
Notable Least Flycatcher Trends in Ohio
long arc declinecomputed index
Least Flycatcher has fallen sharply in Ohio: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Least Flycatcher Population Forecast in Ohio
If the recent trend holds, Least Flycatcher in Ohio is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±173.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1495% range
±173.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
Least Flycatcher Survey Routes in Ohio
| Wayne N.F. | 2 | 2018 | 2016 |
| Strongsville | 2 | 1977 | 1968 |
| Scioto Furn | 2 | 2004 | 2003 |
| Keene | 2 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Lockport | 1 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Kunkle | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Shawnee S.F. | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
| N Baltimore | 1 | 1993 | 1991 |
| Tar Hollow | 1 | 1995 | 1992 |
| Tick Ridge | 1 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Pittsfield | 1 | 2007 | 1994 |
| Peru | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Bismark | 1 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Mohican S.F. | 1 | 2001 | 1992 |
| Wayland | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Garrettsvile | 1 | 1989 | 1967 |
| Middlefield | 1 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Lenox | 1 | 2016 | 1966 |
| Herner Crns | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Birmingham | 1 | 2024 | 1993 |
| New Dover | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| London | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Lattasburg | 1 | 1982 | 1967 |
| Fulton | 1 | 1981 | 1977 |
| Meadowbrook | 1 | 1993 | 1979 |
Least Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutgeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.