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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Minnesota

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Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota has surged: up 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+85%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
91Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Wood-Pewee Trends in MinnesotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Wood-Pewee has surged in Minnesota: up 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 3.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–3.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 3.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.92.13.7
20272.92.13.7
20282.92.13.7
20292.92.13.7
20302.92.13.7

Eastern Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sherburne Nr2820251990
Chatfield 21920252003
Caledonia 21320252013
Millville1220251970
Bena1219771967
Blackduck1220222004
Knapp1120251967
Debs1120251969
Cromwell920251967
Brook Park920251999
Bigfork920251993
Whitewater920001994
Mahtowa820231994
Nett Lake820242013
Wigwam Bay720231967
Edwards720241973
Sawbill Lndg720251973
Red Lake720251993
Chisholm720242019
Minnetonka620251970
Evergreen620251967
Caledonia620121993
Austin620231993
New London620231994
Brainerd620241993

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.