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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota has risen sharply: up 64% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+64%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
91Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Wood-Pewee Trends in MinnesotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Wood-Pewee has risen sharply in Minnesota: up 64% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 2.1–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-20%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–3.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 2.1–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.82.03.5
20262.82.03.5
20272.82.03.6
20282.82.13.6
20292.82.13.6

Eastern Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Minnesota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sherburne Nr2220241990
Caledonia 21520242013
Chatfield 21420242003
Knapp1220241967
Bena1219771967
Blackduck1220222004
Princeton1120241969
Brook Park920241999
Whitewater920001994
Mahtowa820231994
Nett Lake820242013
Wigwam Bay720231967
Edwards720241973
Evergreen720241967
Bigfork720241993
Chisholm720242019
Caledonia620121993
Austin620231993
New London620231994
Brainerd620241993
Osseo520241967
Backus520241967
Beltrami520241967
Frontenac520241993
Ashby520211997

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.