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Species · North Carolina · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina has declined: down 44% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-44%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
112Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Wood-Pewee Trends in North CarolinaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina. See the full index history below.

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.5 (95% range 1.3–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.3–7.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±47.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.5 (95% range 1.3–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.71.67.9
20274.71.57.9
20284.61.47.8
20294.51.47.7
20304.51.37.7

Eastern Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Rheasville2220172005
Beargrass2019811966
Rhems1819931990
Spring Hope1620252002
South. Pines1519961995
Osmond1520252001
Cherryville1419681966
Bullock1420251997
Gupton1420252001
Dismal Swamp1320241993
Youngsville1220251966
Durham1220251990
Ernul1120092001
Green Swamp1120062002
Arapahoe1019951966
Saxapahaw1020231966
Monticello1020251990
Mount Airy1020252000
Lake Surf1020251998
Goldston1020222001
Sheep Ridge1020251994
Table Rock1020221994
Washington920252001
Climax820251966
Craven Gap819731969

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.