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Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-51%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
112Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Wood-Pewee Trends in North CarolinaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Wood-Pewee has fallen sharply in North Carolina: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.5 (95% range 1.3–7.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.3–7.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±54.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.5 (95% range 1.3–7.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.81.68.0
20264.71.58.0
20274.71.57.9
20284.61.47.8
20294.51.37.8

Eastern Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in North Carolina.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Rheasville2220172005
Beargrass2019811966
Rhems1819931990
South. Pines1519961995
Cherryville1419681966
Speed1320241967
Dismal Swamp1320241993
Bullock1220241997
Youngsville1120241966
Durham1120241990
Ernul1120092001
Raeford1120241990
Sheep Ridge1120241994
Green Swamp1120062002
Arapahoe1019951966
Saxapahaw1020231966
Gupton1020242001
Goldston1020222001
Table Rock1020221994
Spring Hope1020242002
Arcola920241971
California 2920242014
Ostwalt920242012
Broad Creek920241993
Washington920242001

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.