BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in New York

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in New York has surged: up 131% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+131%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
128Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Wood-Pewee Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Wood-Pewee has surged in New York: up 131% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in New York is projected to fall about 34% by 2030 — from 5.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 2.1–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-34%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–4.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in New York is projected to fall about 34% by 2030 — from 5.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 2.1–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.52.14.8
20273.52.14.8
20283.52.14.8
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20303.52.14.8

Eastern Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
W Shokan2020191969
Catskills1520151967
Argyle1520241968
North Easton1520251967
Mt Morris1420251967
Pulaski1220251967
Branchport1120241967
N Victory 21120211978
Orleans1020251967
Castile1020251967
Naples1020251966
Rhinebeck920251966
Middletown920131967
Duanesburg920251966
Hamburg920251967
S Berne 2920252014
Petersburg820181966
Sheridan820251966
Kasoag820251966
Austerlitz720251966
Medusa720241968
Oxford719761967
Cayuga720251969
Macdougall720251969
Nashville720181967

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.