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Species · Kentucky · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in Kentucky has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+14%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Wood-Pewee Trends in KentuckyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Wood-Pewee in Kentucky. See the full index history below.

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Kentucky is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 9.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 5.8–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.8–1095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Kentucky is projected to fall about 17% by 2030 — from 9.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 5.8–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20268.05.810
20278.05.810
20288.05.810
20298.05.810
20308.05.810

Eastern Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Kentucky.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mammoth Cave2320141995
Shiloh1920251967
Johnsonville1920211966
Brownsville1620242022
Merrimac1620241967
Bays Fork1620191999
Levee 21620192008
Eastview1520251967
Hegira1420241988
Mammoth Cave North1420132009
Bardwell 21420252006
Beattyville 21420242006
Keysburg1320251968
Pine Ridge1319781966
Joy1320231966
East Union1320251966
Riverqueen1220252007
Kehoe1219921966
Mcbrayer1120251966
Lebanon Junction1120252000
Canton1020251967
Apex1020252005
Carter1020251976
Iron Bridge919981966
Sulphur Lick920241966

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.