BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Virginia

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in Virginia has edged up: up 15% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+15%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
88Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Wood-Pewee Trends in VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Wood-Pewee in Virginia. See the full index history below.

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Virginia is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.1 (95% range 5.8–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.8–1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±32.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Virginia is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.1 (95% range 5.8–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20259.15.712
20269.15.712
20279.15.812
20289.15.812
20299.15.812

Eastern Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Front Royal5120241993
New Market4920241992
Tryme3620241975
Brandon3220241992
Amherst2820241967
Pw Forest Pk2820091992
Bald Knob2720241992
Big Meadows2620241993
Brandy Station2520242017
Big Island2020241968
Hall2020231967
Lake Anna2020242021
Walkers2020231992
Port Royal1920191977
Surry1820241977
Appomattox1820241995
Shenandoa Np1820241993
Moran1720241996
Rural Retrt1620241982
Glenwood1620231992
Mountain Lk.1620181992
Star Tannery1420241977
W Augusta1320241967
Church Road1320241966
Carters Brdg 21320242015

Eastern Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.