Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Purple Martin Population Trend in Utah
Purple Martin in Utah has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
-63%Since 1973
16Routes In State
41Years
Notable Purple Martin Trends in Utah
long arc declinecomputed index
Purple Martin has fallen sharply in Utah: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Purple Martin Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Purple Martin in Utah is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±174.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-22%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2795% range
±174.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| 2026 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| 2027 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| 2028 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2029 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
Purple Martin Survey Routes in Utah
| Saleratus Cr | 8 | 2004 | 1996 |
| Promontory | 5 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Woodruff | 4 | 2022 | 2002 |
| Lost Cr. Res | 3 | 2016 | 1995 |
| Aneth | 3 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Beck | 2 | 1977 | 1971 |
| Fish Lake Nf | 2 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Soapstone | 2 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Skyline Driv | 1 | 2015 | 1986 |
| Richfield | 1 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Logan Canyon | 1 | 2013 | 2001 |
| Hardware Ranch | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Dragerton | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Red Spur Mtn. | 1 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Beck 2 | 1 | 2017 | 1991 |
| Boulder | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
Purple Martin Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.