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Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Purple Martin Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesAerial insectivores

Purple Martin in Arkansas has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-78%Since 1969
57Routes In State
57Years

Notable Purple Martin Trends in Arkansas

long arc declinecomputed index

Purple Martin has collapsed in Arkansas: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Purple Martin Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Purple Martin in Arkansas is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.3 (95% range 0.00–8.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±165.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029
3.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.395% range
±165.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.00.009.0
20263.80.008.8
20273.70.008.7
20283.50.008.5
20293.30.008.3

Purple Martin Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Purple Martin in Arkansas.
Saffell3620191967
Massard2620211967
Farwell2620182010
Dell1620242017
England1620242010
Eudora1420161967
Centerton1220142010
Wilson1220241993
Ashdown1120211967
Whitton1119911968
Russell1120212010
Lockesburg1120152010
Zion1020241967
Springhill920222010
Havana820212010
Poyen720071967
Blakely719991969
Lurton720131970
Hope620211967
Crows619911967
Stephens620242010
Yellville520102010
Ravenden Springs520152010
Augusta 2520112002
Stark420231967

Purple Martin Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.