Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Kentucky Warbler Population Trend in West Virginia
Kentucky Warbler in West Virginia has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-80%Since 1968
60Routes In State
58Years
Notable Kentucky Warbler Trends in West Virginia
long arc declinecomputed index
Kentucky Warbler has collapsed in West Virginia: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Kentucky Warbler Population Forecast in West Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Kentucky Warbler in West Virginia is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 0.54 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.75 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+39%Change by 2029
0.75Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±51.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
Kentucky Warbler Survey Routes in West Virginia
| Stollings | 7 | 2021 | 1986 |
| Breeden | 5 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Yawkey | 4 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Fayetteville | 3 | 1996 | 1980 |
| Josephs Mill | 3 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Albright | 3 | 1974 | 1966 |
| Hanover | 2 | 2023 | 1980 |
| Clear Creek | 2 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Welch | 2 | 2022 | 1980 |
| Olcott | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Denmar | 2 | 2009 | 2003 |
| Richwood | 2 | 1983 | 1982 |
| Sugar Grove | 2 | 2018 | 1970 |
| Smithfield | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Sleepy Creek | 2 | 1981 | 1976 |
| Clinton | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Ruthbelle | 2 | 2013 | 1975 |
| Hix | 1 | 2016 | 1970 |
| Smoot | 1 | 2022 | 1980 |
| Pedro | 1 | 2010 | 1979 |
| Bramwell | 1 | 2021 | 1978 |
| Ghent | 1 | 2023 | 1978 |
| Pt Pleasant | 1 | 2005 | 1976 |
| Arlee | 1 | 1977 | 1966 |
| Hubbardstown | 1 | 2023 | 1966 |
Kentucky Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.