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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Kentucky Warbler Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Kentucky Warbler in Texas has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-55%Since 1969
35Routes In State
57Years

Notable Kentucky Warbler Trends in Texas

long arc declinecomputed index

Kentucky Warbler has fallen sharply in Texas: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Kentucky Warbler Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Kentucky Warbler in Texas is projected to fall about 29% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.00–0.28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-29%Change by 2029
0.10Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2895% range
±31.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.110.000.30
20260.110.000.29
20270.110.000.29
20280.100.000.28
20290.100.000.28

Kentucky Warbler Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Kentucky Warbler in Texas.
Caledonia320241970
Oakwood319761975
Alexander St320241995
Bon Wier320241996
Big Sandy Bith220242015
Neches Bith220162016
Thornton 2219981998
Morton220231972
Crossroads220241977
Athens219951968
Lydia220221967
Weches220242000
Hearne120221998
Lance Rosier Bith120172017
Cayuga120142014
Chandler 2120162010
Town Bluff120241973
Livingston120041969
New Waverly120181969
Oak Grove119841977
Gause119971992
Diboll120241968
Powell Park 2120242022
Chandler119701969
Easton 2120242014

Kentucky Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseevirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.