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Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Kentucky Warbler Population Trend in Ohio

All statesForest birds

Kentucky Warbler in Ohio has surged: up 96% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+96%Since 1968
46Routes In State
58Years

Notable Kentucky Warbler Trends in Ohio

long arc increasecomputed index

Kentucky Warbler has surged in Ohio: up 96% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Kentucky Warbler Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Kentucky Warbler in Ohio is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.56–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+55%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.56–3.595% range
±81.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.00.483.4
20262.00.503.5
20272.00.523.5
20282.00.543.5
20292.00.563.5

Kentucky Warbler Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Kentucky Warbler in Ohio.
Tar Hollow2820241992
Pike S.F.1420131992
Scioto Trail1320131992
Dell920191993
Rome920241968
Shawnee S.F. 2820192001
Coal Run719921966
Newcomerstwn619951970
Cumberland420071967
Greasy Ridge419911966
Wayne N.F.320241992
Shawnee S.F.220001992
Zaleski S.F.220241992
Dresden220241966
Ash Ridge219991992
Scioto Furn220221993
Tick Ridge120111993
Mohican S.F.120241992
Ashley119911991
Middlefield119701970
Stonecreek120241996
Birmingham120241988
Coshocton119911991
Petersburg119991998
Harveysburg 2119991999

Kentucky Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaoklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.