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Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Georgia

All statesAerial insectivores

Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-64%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
92Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Chuck-will's-widow Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Chuck-will's-widow has fallen sharply in Georgia: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Chuck-will's-widow Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia is projected to fall about 81% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-81%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.23Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±78.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia is projected to fall about 81% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.420.001.6
20260.370.001.6
20270.330.001.5
20280.280.001.5
20290.230.001.4

Chuck-will's-widow Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Tarver1220241991
Headlight1120242011
Millen720212006
Barges720242011
Rentz520241977
Colonels Island520192006
Glenmore520242015
Forsyth420191966
Waycross419841971
Tazewell420241967
Council420242012
Big Oak420242011
Everett City320191976
Guyton319901966
Hollonville320031973
Fairplay319851966
Washington320181975
Deepstep320231976
Keller319941975
Boston320241975
Needmore319831977
Pineora320121994
Weber320242006
Curry Hill320192006
Okefenokee219921975

Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasdelawarefloridaillinoisindianakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmississippimissourinebraskanew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiooklahomasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.