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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Georgia

All statesAerial insectivores

Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-63%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
93Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Chuck-will's-widow Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Chuck-will's-widow has fallen sharply in Georgia: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Chuck-will's-widow Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia is projected to fall about 81% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-81%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.26Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±78.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia is projected to fall about 81% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.440.001.6
20270.390.001.6
20280.350.001.6
20290.300.001.5
20300.260.001.5

Chuck-will's-widow Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Chuck-will's-widow in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Council1120252012
Tarver920251991
Headlight920252011
Glenmore820252015
Rentz520251977
Colonels Island520192006
Weber520252006
Barges520252011
Stockton420251977
Forsyth420191966
Waycross419841971
Everett City320191976
Courthouse320251967
Guyton319901966
Hollonville320031973
Fairplay319851966
Cartersville320251966
Washington320181975
Deepstep320231976
Keller319941975
Boston320241975
Needmore319831977
Pineora320121994
Thornton Road320252011
Curry Hill320192006

Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasdelawarefloridaillinoisindianakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmississippimissourinebraskanew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiooklahomasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.