Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in North Carolina
Chuck-will's-widow in North Carolina has held roughly steady: up 7% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+7%Since 1968
69Routes In State
58Years
Notable Chuck-will's-widow Trends in North Carolina
No notable trend signals for Chuck-will's-widow in North Carolina. See the full index history below.
Chuck-will's-widow Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in North Carolina is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 0.69 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.83 (95% range 0.00–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+20%Change by 2029
0.83Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.895% range
±18.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2028 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
Chuck-will's-widow Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Montague | 8 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Shallotte | 7 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Hamlet | 7 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Maple Hill | 6 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Wards Corner | 5 | 2012 | 1966 |
| Cayton | 5 | 2023 | 2015 |
| California 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Arapahoe | 4 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Jordan | 4 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Table Rock | 4 | 2022 | 2015 |
| Grandy | 4 | 1974 | 1973 |
| Belgrade | 4 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Broad Creek | 4 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Hulls Xroads | 4 | 2002 | 2001 |
| Supply | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Fairmont | 3 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Bethel | 3 | 2011 | 2002 |
| Jackson | 3 | 2017 | 1995 |
| Rowland | 3 | 2001 | 1990 |
| Jamesville | 3 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Merrimon | 2 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Mashoes | 2 | 1982 | 1972 |
| Beargrass | 2 | 1981 | 1973 |
| Sheep Ridge | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Spring Hope | 2 | 2024 | 2019 |
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.