Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Arkansas
Chuck-will's-widow in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-62%Since 1969
47Routes In State
57Years
Notable Chuck-will's-widow Trends in Arkansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Chuck-will's-widow has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Chuck-will's-widow Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.84 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-6%Change by 2029
0.84Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.995% range
±15.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
Chuck-will's-widow Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Havana | 6 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Blakely | 5 | 1999 | 1968 |
| Hatfield 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Lurton | 4 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Waldron | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Rupert | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Zion | 3 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Russell | 3 | 2017 | 2010 |
| Marshall | 3 | 2019 | 2011 |
| Rudy | 3 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Boston Mtn. | 3 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Four Lakes | 3 | 2001 | 1994 |
| Ramsey | 2 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Locust Bayou | 2 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Stamps | 2 | 1996 | 1969 |
| Saffell | 2 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Stark | 2 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Fulton | 2 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Ravenden Springs | 2 | 2014 | 2010 |
| Springhill | 2 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Stephens | 2 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Magazine Mtn | 2 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Princeton | 2 | 2014 | 1998 |
| Old Milo | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Eudora | 1 | 1994 | 1967 |
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.