Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Mississippi
Chuck-will's-widow in Mississippi has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-82%Since 1968
43Routes In State
58Years
Notable Chuck-will's-widow Trends in Mississippi
long arc declinecomputed index
Chuck-will's-widow has collapsed in Mississippi: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Chuck-will's-widow Population Forecast in Mississippi
If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Mississippi is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.42 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±63.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Chuck-will's-widow Survey Routes in Mississippi
| Walthall | 11 | 1987 | 1970 |
| Scooba | 9 | 1982 | 1967 |
| Tchula | 6 | 1975 | 1970 |
| Tchula 2 | 6 | 1994 | 1976 |
| Scooba 2 | 6 | 1987 | 1983 |
| Latimer | 4 | 2019 | 1989 |
| Trace Chickasaw | 4 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Duffee | 3 | 2008 | 1973 |
| De Soto | 3 | 2019 | 2008 |
| Utica | 2 | 1989 | 1966 |
| Cockrum | 2 | 2001 | 1966 |
| Tupelo | 2 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Macon | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Neely | 2 | 2012 | 1974 |
| Waynesboro | 2 | 1998 | 1967 |
| Latimer 2 | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Trace Choctaw | 2 | 2018 | 2012 |
| Trace Lee | 2 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Necaise | 2 | 2022 | 1982 |
| Diberville | 1 | 1986 | 1979 |
| Beverly | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Commerce | 1 | 1990 | 1967 |
| Lucien | 1 | 2013 | 1967 |
| Fayette | 1 | 1990 | 1966 |
| Olive Branch | 1 | 2000 | 1981 |
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.