Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Kentucky
Chuck-will's-widow in Kentucky has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-74%Since 1969
29Routes In State
57Years
Notable Chuck-will's-widow Trends in Kentucky
long arc declinecomputed index
Chuck-will's-widow has fallen sharply in Kentucky: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Chuck-will's-widow Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Kentucky is projected to fall about 69% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.50). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±133.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-69%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5095% range
±133.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2026 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| 2028 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| 2029 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
Chuck-will's-widow Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Cedar Grove | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Daniel Boone | 3 | 1988 | 1982 |
| Hegira | 2 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Monticello | 2 | 2015 | 1968 |
| Mckee | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Merrimac | 2 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Joy | 2 | 2017 | 1981 |
| Lovelacevile | 1 | 1992 | 1967 |
| Shiloh | 1 | 2013 | 1967 |
| Canton | 1 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Keysburg | 1 | 1983 | 1969 |
| Iron Bridge | 1 | 1988 | 1982 |
| Sulphur Lick | 1 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Sunnybrook | 1 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Bardwell | 1 | 2000 | 1971 |
| Riverqueen | 1 | 2017 | 2009 |
| Mammoth Cave North | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Levee | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Kings Mtn | 1 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Mcbrayer | 1 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Hodgenville | 1 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Johnsonville | 1 | 1991 | 1982 |
| Demunbruns | 1 | 2013 | 1967 |
| Gatewood | 1 | 2000 | 1967 |
| Hudson | 1 | 2000 | 1968 |
Chuck-will's-widow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.