Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Broad-winged Hawk Population Trend in Vermont
Broad-winged Hawk in Vermont has surged: up 216% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+216%Since 1968
25Routes In State
54Years
Notable Broad-winged Hawk Trends in Vermont
long arc increasecomputed index
Broad-winged Hawk has surged in Vermont: up 216% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Broad-winged Hawk Population Forecast in Vermont
If the recent trend holds, Broad-winged Hawk in Vermont is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 0.44 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.09–0.56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-26%Change by 2029
0.33Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.5695% range
±47.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.32 | 0.08 | 0.55 |
| 2026 | 0.32 | 0.08 | 0.55 |
| 2027 | 0.32 | 0.09 | 0.56 |
| 2028 | 0.33 | 0.09 | 0.56 |
| 2029 | 0.33 | 0.09 | 0.56 |
Broad-winged Hawk Survey Routes in Vermont
| Stratton | 2 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Landgrove | 2 | 2023 | 1974 |
| S Reading | 2 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Middlesex | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| East Calais | 2 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Stowe | 2 | 2022 | 1991 |
| Marlboro | 1 | 2016 | 1995 |
| North Pownal | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Gaysville | 1 | 2018 | 1978 |
| Post Mills | 1 | 2015 | 1980 |
| Shaftsbury | 1 | 2023 | 1975 |
| S Wallingfrd | 1 | 2022 | 1981 |
| W Rutland | 1 | 2022 | 1979 |
| St Johnsbury | 1 | 2021 | 1973 |
| East Haven | 1 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Northfld Fls | 1 | 2021 | 1986 |
| Newbury | 1 | 2004 | 1998 |
| Hardwick | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Greensboro | 1 | 2015 | 1967 |
| Fletcher | 1 | 2016 | 1993 |
| Waterville | 1 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Hinesburg | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Colchester | 1 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Grand Isle | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Newbury 2 | 1 | 2022 | 2005 |
Broad-winged Hawk Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.