BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Broad-winged Hawk Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Broad-winged Hawk in Georgia has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-42%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
68Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
55YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Broad-winged Hawk Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Broad-winged Hawk in Georgia. See the full index history below.

Broad-winged Hawk Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Broad-winged Hawk in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.09Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±27.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Broad-winged Hawk in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.100.000.21
20260.100.000.21
20270.100.000.20
20280.090.000.20
20290.090.000.20

Broad-winged Hawk Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Broad-winged Hawk in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Baldwin320131967
Linwood320191972
Ball Ground220212021
Doles220181983
Macon220241979
Finleyson219841984
Roland220242009
Davis Crossroads220152015
Stockton120191980
Baxley120191982
Fowlstown120161967
Fitzgerald119961970
Everett City120162016
Courthouse120001984
Cuthbert119871976
Guyton119931987
Lyons119911989
Wrightsville120171981
Hawkinsville119831981
Forsyth120031973
Crest120161974
Coffee Co120222022
Maxeys120101968
Hollonville119771977
Fairplay119901975

Broad-winged Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.