Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-headed Blackbird Population Trend in Oregon
Yellow-headed Blackbird in Oregon has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-63%Since 1970
55Routes In State
56Years
Notable Yellow-headed Blackbird Trends in Oregon
long arc declinecomputed index
Yellow-headed Blackbird has fallen sharply in Oregon: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Yellow-headed Blackbird Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-headed Blackbird in Oregon is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±158.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.295% range
±158.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
Yellow-headed Blackbird Survey Routes in Oregon
| Merrill | 141 | 2022 | 1994 |
| Princeton | 78 | 1985 | 1972 |
| Umatilla | 61 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Catlow Rim | 31 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Modoc Point | 30 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Fish Lake | 25 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Wickiup | 22 | 1988 | 1987 |
| Modoc Point 2 | 21 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Malheur Nwr | 21 | 2022 | 1986 |
| Davis Lake | 14 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Harney Lake | 12 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Albee | 10 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Sheaville | 9 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Blizzard Gap | 7 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Warner Vally | 7 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Alvord Lake | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Sparta | 6 | 1999 | 1971 |
| Blitzen 2 | 5 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Ordnance | 5 | 1979 | 1971 |
| Dell Spring | 5 | 1990 | 1968 |
| Elk Lake | 5 | 2016 | 1981 |
| Chinchalo | 5 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Fandango Can | 4 | 2023 | 1980 |
| Silver Creek | 4 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Bly | 4 | 1995 | 1973 |
Yellow-headed Blackbird Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.